Why Obama must win by at least 10% in every state

[yesthattom]

Before you get all excited that Obama's polling numbers are looking good, or that Intrade is predicting he'll win, or that FiveThirtyEight's mathematical simulations involving every poller's data in the world claims that Obama is doing well, please remember this:

Any state that the Democrats are predicted to win "by only a few votes" is a state Democrats will lose.

• The kind of voter fraud and disenfranchisement that Republicans are good at only work in close elections, like Florida 2000 and Ohio 2004
• When Dem candidates are doing well, we tend to not volunteer or donate; it starves our candidates right at the end of the campaign when they need it most. That's also when Republicans get scared and start donating like crazy.
• When Republicans think they are going to lose, they Swiftboat so outragiously that Dems can't defend themselves against it.

The best way to fight voter fraud at this stage in the game is to assure that every state we win we do so by at least 10%. That's big enough to make both of those problems go away. That means when it seems Obama is doing well, you have 2x the reason to donate, volunteer, and get your friends to the polls.

Remember: Register to vote at www.voteforchange.com
Remember: Make sure all of your friends have checked to see that their registration is still valid. Remember: Make sure your friends go to the polls early in the day. Drive them to the polls if you need to. Tom Update: Can someone us a tool like this and figure out what the Electorial College results would be if we assume the "close" states went McCain?

Comments

[mrfantasy.livejournal.com]

I was recently thinking this same exact thing--and not only do I appreciate the call to action, I hope the Obama campaign gets it and is preparing an onslaught that will put the race in their favor.